Posts belonging to Category FED



Brexit: Divorce deal agreed

May: there will be no hard border in Ireland

Britain and the European Union struck a deal on Friday to move on to talk about trade and a transition period after they agreed the outline of their divorce, easing the pressure on Prime Minister Theresa May. The European Commission said enough progress had been made after the two sides worked through the night to end an impasse over the status of the Irish border that had scuppered an earlier attempt to clinch a deal on Monday.

The Commission gave its verdict in a statement after intense talks, which resulted in British Prime Minister Theresa May taking an early-morning flight to Brussels to announce the deal alongside Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker. Donald Tusk, the chairman of European Union leaders, welcomed the deal but said London still needed to provide more clarity on the new relationship after Brexit, and bemoaned the fact the first round of talks had taken so long.

“We all know that breaking up is hard, but breaking up and building a new relation is much harder,” he said. “So much time has been devoted to the easier task and now … we have de facto less than a year” left for talks before Britain is due to leave in March, 2019.

http://www.reuters.com… Fri., 08  December 2017

What is the future of Money?

Bitcoin, Dollars or Gold?

Type “Bitcoin is a Bubble” into Google and you’ll get 31,800,000 results, a clear indication of how many times people have, incorrectly so far, called a top in the price of the worlds most famous cryptocurrency. We’ve been studying it for years and have summarised our thoughts in a detailed report; “Bitcoin, Dollars, Gold: What is the Future of Money”

We see numerous potential tailwinds for Bitcoin, and for blockchain especially. Capital is flowing into the sector, millennials love it, and we also think governments and commercial banks are supportive of digital currency, as they have a general disdain for physical cash. Blockchain’s potential to disrupt multiple industries is also another tailwind. For those who want further evidence of its potential, we suggest reading “Banking is only the Beginning: 30 Big Industries Blockchain Could Transform”.

Finally, for as long as central banks the world over engage in the monetary largesse we’ve become accustomed to in the “post” GFC environment, more and more people will look for alternative monetary solutions.

http://www.livewiredmarkets.com… Mon., 04  December 2017

The Fed has no plans for its own cryptocurrency — at least for now

Fed is paying attention to research on blockchain

The Federal Reserve isn’t planning on launching its own digital currency — at least for now. While speaking at an event at Arizona State University on Wednesday, the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, John Williams, said the Fed is not working on its own digital currency, according to Reuters reporting.

But the Fed is paying attention to research on blockchain, the technology underpinning bitcoin, the news wire said.

http://www.businessinsider.com

Stocks: Do lower interest rates justify higher valuations?

Warren Buffett says stock valuations make sense with interest rates where they are

Billionaire Warren Buffett told CNBC on Tuesday stock market valuations make sense with interest rates where they are. Rates have been a “powerful factor” in equities values, he said. The chairman and CEO of Berkshire Hathaway, who appeared on CNBC’s “Squawk Box,” said stocks are going to outperform bonds.

“I can’t remember any decision we ever made based on the Fed,” Buffett said, stressing he buys shares of companies he likes rather than playing the overall market.

But Buffett said Berkshire is holding off selling investments until he sees how the GOP tax reform efforts play out in Washington.

http://www.cnbc.com…  Mon.,  16  October 2017

Asia stocks reach 10-year peak

Federal Reserve showed a more guarded view towards inflation

Asian stocks reached a 10-year high on Thursday, riding the bull run in global equity markets, while the dollar sagged after the Federal Reserve showed a more guarded view towards inflation. Spreadbetters expected a mixed start for European stocks, forecasting Britain’s FTSE to open down 0.05 percent, Germany’s DAX to start 0.03 percent higher France’s CAC to open flat. MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan was up 0.55 percent and at its highest since December 2007.

Japan’s Nikkei was up 0.4 percent after brushing 20,994.40, its highest since November 1996. South Korea’s KOSPI added 0.55 percent to mark a fresh record peak and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng scaled a decade-high. Asia took cues from Wall Street, where major indexes rose to yet another set of record closing highs overnight following a report that a market-friendly candidate was being pushed as successor to Janet Yellen at the helm of the Fed.

http://www.reuters.com…  Thu.,  12  October 2017

Bridgewater founder is not a believer in cryptocurrencies

Ray Dalio, founder of the world’s largest hedge fund, says ‘bitcoin is a bubble’

Bridgewater Associates founder Ray Dalio said Tuesday he is not a believer in cryptocurrencies. “Bitcoin today you can’t make much transactions in it. You can’t spend it very easily,” Dalio said on CNBC’s “Squawk Box.” “It’s not an effective storehold of wealth because it has volatility to it, unlike gold,” the hedge fund founder added. “Bitcoin is a highly speculative market. Bitcoin is a bubble.”

The investor said there are two important facets to being considered a valid currency: ease of transactions as a medium of exchange and being a “storehold of wealth.” “It’s a shame, it could be a currency. It could work conceptually, but the amount of speculation that is going on and the lack of transactions [hurts it],” he said.

http://www.cnbc.com…  Mon.,  09  October 2017

Next Financial Crisis

Where Deutsche Bank thinks the next financial crises could happen

Central banks unwinding quantitative easing, potential crises in China and Italy, elevated global trade imbalances and a backdrop of populism: Just some of the potential sources of the next financial crisis, according to the latest research from Deutsche Bank. In a report looking for the potential source of the next financial shock, Deutsche Bank strategists Jim Reid, Nick Burns, Sukanto Chanda and Craig Nicol warned that there are “a number of areas of the global financial system that look at extreme levels.”

“This includes valuations in many asset classes, the incredibly unique size of central bank balance sheets, debt levels, multi-century all-time lows in interest rates and even the level of potentially game changing populist political support around the globe. If there is a crisis relatively soon (within the next 2-3 years), it would be hard to look at these variables and say that there was no way of spotting them.” Although the strategists note that their list of potential sources for the next financial shock is “far from a prediction that they will occur,” their list is designed to show where some of the stresses are in the financial system and ones that could create global financial and economic problems.

http://www.cnbc.comThu.,  28  September 2017

Will Trump reappoint Yellen?

Central Bank’s massive bond-buying program worries Republicans

From her early days as Federal Reserve chair, Janet Yellen has been the target of criticism from Republicans worried that the central bank’s massive bond-buying programs and near-zero interest rates engineered by her predecessor would be the ruin of the country. With little more than four months left in her term and questions swirling over whether the White House will ask her to stay on for another four years, Yellen has turned that story around.

The Fed has raised rates faster than markets had thought possible this year and, on Wednesday, it announced its $4.5 trillion bond portfolio would begin to shrink in October. All the while, unemployment has plunged to boomtime levels and inflation has remained well in check. Now Yellen’s stock appears to be rising, both among her critics and on a real-money exchange where traders can place bets on who they think will be the next Fed chair.

http://www.reuters.comFri.,  22  September 2017

JP Morgan attacks Bitcoin

JP Morgan: bitcoin ‘is a fraud’

Bitcoin “is a fraud” and will blow up, Jamie Dimon, chief executive of JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM.N), said on Tuesday. Speaking at a bank investor conference in New York, Dimon said, “The currency isn’t going to work. You can’t have a business where people can invent a currency out of thin air and think that people who are buying it are really smart.” Dimon said that if any JPMorgan traders were trading the crypto-currency, “I would fire them in a second, for two reasons: It is against our rules and they are stupid, and both are dangerous.”

Dimon’s comments come as the bitcoin, a virtual currency not backed by any government, has more than quadrupled in value since December to more than $4,100. Bitcoin is a digital currency that enables individuals to transfer value to each other and pay for goods and services bypassing banks and the mainstream financial system.

http://www.reuters.com…  Wed.,  13  September 2017

US debt is still climbing

The US government just passed $20 trillion in debt for the first time ever

For the first time in its history, the US federal government has more than $20 trillion in outstanding debt.

The milestone was technically hit Friday, with the Treasury Department settling its accounts at the end of the day with $20,162,176,797,904 of debt outstanding. Of that debt, the Treasury said $14,622,661,213,046 is held by the public, while $5,539,515,584,857 is held by various parts of the government, also known as Intragovernmental Holdings.

http://www.businessinsider.com…  Tue.,  12  September 2017